{"id":20,"date":"2011-03-27T15:25:20","date_gmt":"2011-03-27T13:25:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tammilehto.info\/blogi\/2011\/03\/27\/mita-pahimmassa-tapauksessa-fukushimassa\/"},"modified":"2011-03-28T08:50:56","modified_gmt":"2011-03-28T06:50:56","slug":"mita-pahimmassa-tapauksessa-fukushimassa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/r921017x.beget.tech\/blogi\/2011\/03\/27\/mita-pahimmassa-tapauksessa-fukushimassa\/","title":{"rendered":"Mit\u00e4 pahimmassa tapauksessa Fukushimassa?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Vaikka Helsingin Sanomat ja monet muut tiedotusv\u00e4lineet ovat  siirt\u00e4neet Fukushiman sis\u00e4sivujen pikku-uutiseksi,  ydinkatastrofi jatkuu. Jotkut tutkijat ovat pohtineet sit\u00e4,  mit\u00e4 pahimmassa tapauksessa tapahtuisi: jos vett\u00e4 ei  paineastiaan saataisi tarpeeksi, ydinvoimalan syd\u00e4n sulaisi  kokonaan, sula voimakkaasti radioaktiivinen aine h\u00f6yryst\u00e4isi  lopun vedest\u00e4 ja sulattaisi paineastian pohjan. Kun sula  syd\u00e4n putoaisi reaktorin alaosassa olevaan vedent\u00e4ytt\u00e4m\u00e4\u00e4n  betoniseen tilaan, seurauksena olisi valtava r\u00e4j\u00e4hdys, josta  syntyisi eritt\u00e4in radioaktiivinen pilvi. Kun tuuli sattuisi  puhaltamaan maalle p\u00e4in, laaja, mahdollisesti jopa Tokioon  asti ulottuvan alue saastuisi asumiseen kelpaamattomaksi.<br \/>\nSuuren maa-alueen saastuminen voisi tapahtua my\u00f6s muilla  tavoilla varsinkin koska Fukushimassa on runsaasti my\u00f6s  ylikuumentunutta ja vaurioitunutta k\u00e4ytetty\u00e4 polttoainetta.  Asiasta tarkemmin alla.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"moz-txt-link-freetext\" href=\"http:\/\/motherjones.com\/environment\/2011\/03\/how-bad-could-japans-nuclear-crisis-get\">http:\/\/motherjones.com\/environment\/2011\/03\/how-bad-could-japans-nuclear-crisis-get<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>How Bad Could Japan&#8217;s Nuclear Crisis Get? <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>As emergency workers begin &#8221;last-ditch efforts&#8221; to take  control of the damaged power station, experts worry that a  meltdown is still possible. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>By Kate Sheppard | Thu Mar. 17, 2011 4:46 PM PDT<\/p>\n<p>Nuclear power experts and watchdogs warn that we&#8217;re entering  uncharted territory. &#8221;The situation is worsening,&#8221; says  Robert Alvarez, a scholar at the Institute for Policy  Studies and a former senior policy advisor to the secretary  of energy during the Clinton administration. &#8221;It seems to be  slipping out of the control of authorities.&#8221; The situation  at the Japanese plant is constantly changing and involves  several reactors in various states of disrepair. The  chairman of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Greg Jaczko,  says it could be &#8221;possibly weeks&#8221; [2] before it is totally  under control. Until then, the risk of a full meltdown still  looms.<\/p>\n<p>To recap: The Fukushima Daiichi Power Plant has six nuclear  reactors. The power plant&#8217;s owner, Tokyo Electric Power  Company, has been struggling to bring reactor units 1, 2,  and 3 under control after last week&#8217;s earthquake and tsunami  caused a massive power failure that disabled the cooling  systems. On top of that, the spent nuclear fuel in Unit 4,  which was down for maintenance at the time of the quake, has  twice ignited and appears to be the source of the high  levels of radiation released so far.<\/p>\n<p>The spent fuel currently presents the biggest problem. On  Wednesday, NRC chairman Jaczko testified to a Senate panel  that he believed that the pool of water that the spent fuel  is supposed to be submersed in had completely burned off.  The Japanese government has said that there still is water  in the pool, however. Keeping the spent fuel covered is  essential for keeping it cool and preventing the release of  radiation. Not all of the rods are completely spent, and  ongoing reactions within them generate heat. Without a  functioning cooling system, the rods heat up the water and  cause it to boil off. The smoke coming from the unit  indicates that the dry rods are likely causing their  zirconium coating to corrode and ignite, allowing radiation  to escape.<br \/>\nOne expert describes what is currently happening as  &#8221;last-ditch efforts.&#8221; If plant workers can&#8217;t regain control  over the units, there could be a meltdown.<\/p>\n<p>The spent fuel pool at Unit 4 is also particularly  problematic, according to the Union of Concerned Scientists  [3], because the rods in it were just removed in December  2010 and are still highly radioactive. The Unit 4 building  has been severely damaged, and the spent fuel pools don&#8217;t  have the containment infrastructure that the reactors do.  &#8221;There&#8217;s no protection,&#8221; says Kenneth Bergeron, a physicist  who previously worked on nuclear reactor accident  simulations at the Department of Energy&#8217;s Sandia National  Laboratories. &#8221;These things are burning in the open air  virtually??\u00e2\u201a\u00ac\u00c2\u00a6Then the fission products are just there to be  lofted into the atmosphere.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The Japan Atomic Industrial Forum has released an updated  status report [4] on all the units that shows that the water  level in the spent fuel pool at Unit 3 is also critically  low. Japanese officials have characterized this reactor as  perhaps the most dangerous, because it uses some mixed oxide  fuel, or MOX, which includes uranium and plutonium, and  presents a more severe radiation threat. On Monday, there  was an explosion at Unit 3 that appears to have damaged its  reactor core and severely damaged its building. Responders  have also been struggling to maintain the water level in its  reactor, and as of Thursday evening it was only half full.<\/p>\n<p>Life-threatening radiation levels have made it even harder  to emergency workers to deal with the multiple problems at  Fukushima. Fire engines, military trucks, and aircraft have  been sent in to douse the units in hopes of cooling them  down. The New York Times reports [5] that at least one  helicopter turned back, likely due to the high radiation levels.<\/p>\n<p>Alvarez describes what is currently happening as &#8221;last-ditch  efforts.&#8221; If plant workers can&#8217;t keep the water levels up  and regain control over the reactors, there could be a full  meltdown. That means the overheated nuclear fuel will melt  and pour into the bottom of the reactors. The question then  becomes whether the reactors&#8217; primary containment vessels  can hold the melted fuel. Some nuclear watchdog groups have  concerns that the Mark 1 model reactor used at Fukushima may  be vulnerable to failures. The containment vessels at Units  2 and 3 are thought to be damaged, and the building  integrity is compromised at all three units. Additional  fires and explosions could further damage the containment  system.<\/p>\n<p>What might happen next was described to the Knoxville News  Sentinel [6]by Michael Allen [6], who has run  nuclear-accident simulations at Sandia National Labs:<br \/>\nIf workers are unable to get additional cooling water into  the reactor vessel, the molten fuel core will collapse into  the water in bottom of the vessel. Eventually the heat from  the decaying fuel would boil away the water that&#8217;s left,  leaving the core sitting on the vessel&#8217;s lower head made of  steel. Should that happen, &#8221;It&#8217;ll melt through it like  butter,&#8221; Allen said.<br \/>\nThat, in turn, would cause a &#8221;high-pressure melt injection&#8221;  into the water-filled concrete cavity below the reactor.  Because the concrete would likely be unheated, the reaction  created by the sudden injection of the reactor&#8217;s ultra-hot  content would be immense, he said.<br \/>\n&#8221;It&#8217;ll be like somebody dropped a bomb, and there&#8217;ll be a  big cloud of very, very radioactive material above the  ground,&#8221; Allen said, noting that it would contain uranium  and plutonium, as well as the fission products.<\/p>\n<p>In the very least, such a scenario would render the area  around the Fukushima power plant uninhabitable for the  foreseeable future\u2013an area Alvarez says could possibly be as  large as several northeastern states. Its wider impact would  depend on where the resulting plume of radiation travels.  Even then, fully understanding the accident&#8217;s environmental  and public health impacts of could take years. Yet if the  prevailing wind carries the radiation out to sea, there  would be less impact on people living beyond the plant&#8217;s  immediate vicinity. But that&#8217;s another big &#8221;if&#8221; in a  situation whose final outcome remains unpredictable and  potentially catastrophic.<\/p>\n<p>Source URL:  <a class=\"moz-txt-link-freetext\" href=\"http:\/\/motherjones.com\/environment\/2011\/03\/how-bad-could-japans-nuclear-crisis-get\">http:\/\/motherjones.com\/environment\/2011\/03\/how-bad-could-japans-nuclear-crisis-get<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Links:<br \/>\n[1]  <a class=\"moz-txt-link-freetext\" href=\"http:\/\/motherjones.com\/blue-marble\/2011\/03\/japans-nuclear-emergency\">http:\/\/motherjones.com\/blue-marble\/2011\/03\/japans-nuclear-emergency<\/a><br \/>\n[2]  <a class=\"moz-txt-link-freetext\" href=\"http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/news\/nationworld\/world\/la-fgw-japan-quake-nrc-20110318,0,2353640.story\">http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/news\/nationworld\/world\/la-fgw-japan-quake-nrc-20110318,0,2353640.story<\/a><br \/>\n[3]  <a class=\"moz-txt-link-freetext\" href=\"http:\/\/allthingsnuclear.org\/tagged\/Japan_nuclear?utm_&#038;utm_medium=head&#038;utm_campaign=sp-nuke-head-3%2F13%2F2011-pm\">http:\/\/allthingsnuclear.org\/tagged\/Japan_nuclear?utm_&#038;utm_medium=head&#038;utm_campaign=sp-nuke-head-3%2F13%2F2011-pm<\/a><br \/>\n[4]  <a class=\"moz-txt-link-freetext\" href=\"http:\/\/www.jaif.or.jp\/english\/news_images\/pdf\/ENGNEWS01_1300368041P.pdf\">http:\/\/www.jaif.or.jp\/english\/news_images\/pdf\/ENGNEWS01_1300368041P.pdf<\/a><br \/>\n[5]  <a class=\"moz-txt-link-freetext\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2011\/03\/18\/world\/asia\/18nuclear.html?hp\">http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2011\/03\/18\/world\/asia\/18nuclear.html?hp<\/a><br \/>\n[6]  <a class=\"moz-txt-link-freetext\" href=\"http:\/\/blogs.knoxnews.com\/munger\/2011\/03\/ex-sandia-engineer-talks-about.html\">http:\/\/blogs.knoxnews.com\/munger\/2011\/03\/ex-sandia-engineer-talks-about.html<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"moz-txt-sig\"><span class=\"moz-txt-tag\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Vaikka Helsingin Sanomat ja monet muut tiedotusv\u00e4lineet ovat siirt\u00e4neet Fukushiman sis\u00e4sivujen pikku-uutiseksi, ydinkatastrofi jatkuu. Jotkut tutkijat ovat pohtineet sit\u00e4, mit\u00e4 pahimmassa tapauksessa tapahtuisi: jos vett\u00e4 ei paineastiaan saataisi tarpeeksi, ydinvoimalan syd\u00e4n sulaisi kokonaan, sula voimakkaasti radioaktiivinen aine h\u00f6yryst\u00e4isi lopun vedest\u00e4 &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/r921017x.beget.tech\/blogi\/2011\/03\/27\/mita-pahimmassa-tapauksessa-fukushimassa\/\">Lue loppuun <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[9,8],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/r921017x.beget.tech\/blogi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/r921017x.beget.tech\/blogi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/r921017x.beget.tech\/blogi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/r921017x.beget.tech\/blogi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/r921017x.beget.tech\/blogi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/r921017x.beget.tech\/blogi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/r921017x.beget.tech\/blogi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/r921017x.beget.tech\/blogi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/r921017x.beget.tech\/blogi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}